An Asteroid Has a 1% Chance of Impacting Earth in 2032

By Brian Koberlein - January 31, 2025 11:31 AM UTC | Planetary Science
Astronomers have announced the discovery of a new asteroid with a non-zero chance of striking the Earth on December 22, 2032. Designated 2024 YR4, the space rock measures between 40 m and 100 m across, which would create regional damage if it struck the Earth. Initial observations estimate it has a 99% chance of passing the Earth safely but a 1% chance of hitting, which gives it a Level 3 designation on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale.
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